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Reverse Line Movement

advanced 10 min read

Key Takeaways

  • Reverse line movement is when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages.
  • Reverse line movement is caused by a large amount of money being bet on one side of a game by a small number of sharp bettors.
  • Reverse line movement can be a powerful tool for finding value in the sports betting market.
  • You should always do your own research and make your own decisions.

Reverse Line Movement

Reverse line movement is a phenomenon in sports betting where the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. For example, if 80% of the bets are on the favorite, but the line moves in favor of the underdog, this is reverse line movement. This guide will explain what reverse line movement is, what causes it, and how to use it to find value.

What is Reverse Line Movement?

Reverse line movement occurs when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. This is a sign that the smart money is on the other side of the public. Sportsbooks are more concerned with balancing their action from sharp bettors than they are from the general public, so they will move the line to encourage more betting on the side that the sharps are on.

What Causes Reverse Line Movement?

Reverse line movement is caused by a large amount of money being bet on one side of a game by a small number of sharp bettors. This can be due to a variety of factors, such as inside information, a sophisticated betting model, or simply a difference of opinion with the market.

How to Use Reverse Line Movement to Find Value

Reverse line movement can be a powerful tool for finding value in the sports betting market. When you see a line moving in the opposite direction of the betting percentages, it is a sign that the smart money is on that side. This is not a guarantee that the bet will win, but it is a strong indicator that there is value on that side.

Conclusion

Reverse line movement is a valuable tool for any serious sports bettor. By understanding what it is and what causes it, you can use it to find value and gain an edge over the sportsbooks. However, it is important to remember that reverse line movement is not a foolproof system. You should always do your own research and make your own decisions.

Key Takeaways

  • Reverse line movement is when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages.
  • Reverse line movement is caused by a large amount of money being bet on one side of a game by a small number of sharp bettors.
  • Reverse line movement can be a powerful tool for finding value in the sports betting market.
  • You should always do your own research and make your own decisions.

Put This Strategy to Work

The MIT Triple Stack uses Expected Value scanning, Kelly Criterion sizing, and Monte Carlo simulations to find your edge.

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