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NBA Quarter Betting Strategy Guide

NBAintermediate 9 min read

Key Takeaways

  • Quarter betting is a unique way to wager on basketball games.
  • You can bet on the point spread, moneyline, and total for each quarter.
  • To be a successful quarter bettor, you need to be able to identify teams that tend to start or finish games strong.
  • Profitable strategies include looking for slow-starting teams, targeting teams that make adjustments, and paying attention to rotations.

NBA Quarter Betting Strategy Guide

Understanding NBA Quarter Betting

NBA quarter betting is a unique way to wager on basketball games. Instead of betting on the outcome of the entire game, you're betting on the outcome of a specific quarter. This can be a fun and exciting way to bet on the NBA, as it allows you to have action on every quarter of the game.

How it Works

Quarter betting works just like full-game betting, but on a smaller scale. You can bet on the point spread, moneyline, and total for each quarter. For example, if the Los Angeles Lakers are playing the Boston Celtics, you might see the following lines for the first quarter:

  • Point Spread: Lakers -1.5
  • Moneyline: Lakers -125, Celtics +105
  • Total: 55.5

If you bet on the Lakers to cover the first-quarter spread, they would need to win the quarter by 2 or more points. If you bet on the Celtics moneyline, they would need to win the quarter outright. And if you bet on the over, the two teams would need to combine for 56 or more points in the quarter.

Profitable NBA Quarter Betting Strategies

To be a successful quarter bettor, you need to be able to identify teams that tend to start or finish games strong. Here are a few strategies you can use to gain an edge:

1. Look for Slow-Starting Teams

Some teams are notoriously slow starters. They might have a tendency to come out flat in the first quarter and fall behind early. By identifying these teams, you can find value in betting against them in the first quarter. You can bet on their opponent to cover the first-quarter spread or to win the first quarter outright.

2. Target Teams That Make Adjustments

On the other hand, some teams are great at making adjustments. They might have a tendency to start slow, but they often come out strong in the second quarter after their coach has had a chance to make some adjustments. By identifying these teams, you can find value in betting on them in the second quarter.

3. Pay Attention to Rotations

Rotations can have a big impact on quarter betting. A team might have a strong starting lineup, but their bench might be weak. This can create opportunities to bet against them in the second and fourth quarters when their bench is on the floor. Conversely, a team with a strong bench might be a good bet in the second and fourth quarters.

4. Consider the End of Quarters

The end of quarters can be a great time to find value in live betting. Teams will often foul to stop the clock, which can lead to easy points for the opposing team. This can create opportunities to bet the over on the quarter total.

Put This Strategy to Work

The MIT Triple Stack uses Expected Value scanning, Kelly Criterion sizing, and Monte Carlo simulations to find your edge.

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