Riding a Heater
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Teaser

sports betting

A type of parlay where you can adjust the point spread in your favor on each leg, in exchange for a lower payout.

Key Takeaways

  • 1Teasers move the spread in your favor for reduced payouts
  • 2Wong teasers crossing 3 and 7 in football can be +EV
  • 3Only valuable in football with 2-team, 6-point structure
  • 4Basketball teasers are almost never profitable

What is a Teaser?

A teaser is a type of parlay that allows you to move the point spread in your favor on each leg, in exchange for a reduced payout. The most common teasers in football move the line 6, 6.5, or 7 points.

Standard Football Teaser Payouts

Points2-Team3-Team
6-110+180
6.5-120+160
7-130+140

The Wong Teaser Strategy

Stanford Wong's research showed that 2-team, 6-point teasers in football are profitable when:

  1. You tease favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 through both 3 and 7
  2. You tease underdogs of +1.5 to +2.5 through both 3 and 7

These "Wong teasers" cross through the two most important key numbers, dramatically increasing your win probability.

When Teasers Work

  • Football only — Basketball teasers are almost never +EV
  • Cross key numbers — The value is in crossing 3 and 7
  • 2-team teasers — Adding legs compounds the house edge
  • 6-point teasers — Larger teasers cost too much in reduced payout

When Teasers Don't Work

  • Basketball (scoring is too granular for key numbers)
  • More than 2 legs (house edge compounds)
  • Lines that don't cross key numbers

Powered by the MIT Triple Stack

Expected Value + Kelly Criterion + Monte Carlo — the same math from MIT and Bell Labs.