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Over/Under (Total)
sports bettingA bet on whether the combined score of both teams will be over or under a number set by the sportsbook.
Key Takeaways
- 1Over/under is a bet on combined score vs. a set number
- 2Weather, pace, defense, and injuries affect totals
- 3Public tends to bet overs, creating potential under value
- 4First half and team totals can offer additional value
What is an Over/Under?
The over/under (also called the "total") is a bet on whether the combined score of both teams will be higher (over) or lower (under) than a number set by the sportsbook.
Example
Chiefs vs. Eagles — Total: 48.5
- Over 48.5 wins if the combined score is 49 or more
- Under 48.5 wins if the combined score is 48 or fewer
Factors That Affect Totals
- Pace of play — Fast-paced teams push totals higher
- Defensive strength — Elite defenses push totals lower
- Weather — Wind and cold typically lower scoring
- Injuries — Missing key offensive players lowers totals
- Venue — Altitude (Denver), dome vs. outdoor
Public Bias on Totals
The public tends to bet overs, especially in nationally televised games. People like scoring and excitement. This creates a slight edge on unders in certain situations.
Advanced Total Betting
- First half totals — Often offer more value than full game
- Team totals — Bet on one team's score instead of combined
- Live totals — In-game totals adjust based on game flow